Temporal Trend
Launches increased dramatically after 2015, reaching more than 60 per year by 2022. Success rate improved from almost 0% in 2010 to over 85% in recent years.
SpaceX Falcon 9 – Conclusions
Key insights based on the analysis of launches, payloads, sites, and outcomes.
Payload Mass
Payloads between 3,000–8,000 kg have the highest success rates. Extremely low (<500 kg) or very high (>13,000 kg) payloads show more failures.
Launch Sites
KSC LC-39A shows slightly better success rates than CCSFS SLC-40, although the latter hosts most launches.
Booster Recovery
Successful recoveries are most common with ASDS landings. Operations with reused boosters, gridfins, and legs strongly correlate with higher success.
Final Conclusion
To maximize the probability of success, launches should use reusable boosters equipped with gridfins and landing legs, keep payloads within 3,000–8,000 kg, and favor ASDS recovery strategies.